Skip to main content
philippdubach
Finance
31 posts
2026
Feb 6
The Variance Tax
Jan 31
Buying the Haystack Might Not Work This Year
Jan 29
Is Private Equity Just Beta With a Lockup?
Jan 26
The Most Expensive Assumption in AI
Jan 25
Against All Odds: The Mathematics of 'Provably Fair' Casino Games
PROJECT
Jan 16
Ozempic is Reshaping the Fast Food Industry
Jan 11
The Market Can Stay Irrational Longer Than You Can Stay Solvent
Jan 6
Praise by Name, Criticize by Category: Warren Buffett Retires at 95
Jan 2
Bitcoin Security
2025
Dec 30
Apple's AI Bet: Playing the Long Game or Missing the Moment?
Dec 12
How AI is Shaping My Investment Portfolio for 2026
Dec 9
Not Logan Roy: Netflix vs. Paramount's Bidding War
Dec 2
Nike's Crisis and the Economics of Brand Decay
Nov 28
Michael Burry's $379 Newsletter
Nov 16
Damodaran on Gold's 2025 Surge
Nov 9
AI Models as Standalone P&Ls
Oct 26
Pozsar's Bretton Woods III: Three Years Later [2/2]
Oct 25
Pozsar's Bretton Woods III: The Framework [1/2]
Oct 19
Everything is a DCF Model
Jul 7
Sentiment Trading Revisited
Jun 29
Novo Nordisk's Post-Patent Strategy
Jun 15
It Just Ain’t So
May 30
Gambling vs. Investing
May 28
The Model Said So
May 11
Beyond Monte Carlo: Tensor-Based Market Modeling
Apr 25
DeFi's $42 Billion Maturity Story
Feb 20
Trading on Market Sentiment
PROJECT
Feb 15
Passive Investing's Active Problem
2024
Dec 31
The Green Bond Commitment Premium
Nov 11
Crypto Mean Reversion Trading
PROJECT
Mar 15
My First 'Optimal' Portfolio
PROJECT