Does working less explain Europe’s GDP per capita gap with America?
Updated 27 October 2026
Key takeaways
- Different GDP measures change the apparent productivity gap; their difference cannot be read directly as time taken off work.
- More people entering employment can offset shorter working weeks: hours per resident barely changed in France between 1990 and 2022.
- Falling desired hours support a voluntary component, while ageing, employment and unpaid work complicate the leisure explanation.
This week, I came across two Our World in Data charts on Europe’s productivity gap with America and went down a bit of an econ rabbit hole. In the output-per-hour series, German productivity more than doubled between 1990 and 2022, compared with a roughly 70 per cent increase in America:
Yet America pulled ahead on GDP per person.
With all the Euro summer memes1 in the back of my mind, I thought perhaps Europeans had just used some of their productivity gains to buy time off, while Americans kept working and took the money.
I then found one problem with reading the difference as time off, and shortly afterwards, many more. The charts use different GDP measures (as well as different end years). The productivity series adjusts international prices across several benchmark years. For comparing growth, the Penn World Table recommends its national-accounts measure.
Using that measure for both countries, I get hourly productivity growth of 61 per cent in Germany and 68 per cent in America between 1990 and 2022. France reaches 39 per cent and Italy 21 per cent. Faster American productivity growth explains some of the income divergence before we get to working hours.
Working hours still explain part of the difference. But shouldn’t we count all the hours worked across the population?
$$ \frac{\text{GDP}}{\text{population}} = \frac{\text{GDP}}{\text{hours}} \times \frac{\text{hours}}{\text{workers}} \times \frac{\text{workers}}{\text{population}} $$Average annual hours can fall while more people enter employment. That is what happened in France and Italy. From 1990 to 2022, hours per worker fell by about 8 per cent in both countries. Hours per resident were roughly unchanged in France and rose slightly in Italy.
Germany’s hours per resident fell by 7.7 per cent. America’s fell too, by 3.4 per cent. Between 1995 and 2019, Germany’s hours per resident rose while America’s fell.
Ageing changes the arithmetic as well. In Germany, the share of people aged 15–64 fell from 69.0 to 63.6 per cent between 1990 and 2022. America’s declined much less. More retirees can lower hours per resident even when workers keep the same schedule.
Still, an IMF study of European working hours finds that desired hours fell alongside actual hours, particularly among men and younger workers. People appear to want some of the shorter week they are getting. Pension rules, taxes and childcare arrangements shape those choices, and less paid work can mean more unpaid work at home.
The flattering version of this story is that Europeans looked at American incomes and decided they would prefer August. I would be receptive to that argument, particularly in August. On the other hand, Europe’s fragmented markets and shortage of risk capital make it harder for promising firms to grow. That can mean less income without any extra time off, which is a fairly poor holiday policy.
Link leads to Facebook. Apologies. ↩︎